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2024-12-13 04:12:49

Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.Jilin issued a 5-year general bond with a scale of 300 million yuan, an issue rate of 1.6600%, a marginal multiple of 3.00 times and an expected multiple of 1.67; Jilin issued a 10-year general bond with a scale of 300 million yuan, an issue rate of 2.0000%, a marginal multiple of 8.10 times and an expected multiple of 2.01; Jilin issued 30-year ordinary special local bonds, with a scale of 1.6 trillion yuan, an issue interest rate of 2.2000%, a marginal multiple of 1.53 times and an expected multiple of 2.21; Jilin issued 20-year ordinary special local debt, with a scale of 18.5 trillion yuan, an issue interest rate of 2.2300%, a marginal multiple of 22.48 times and an expected multiple of 2.24; Jilin issued 30-year ordinary special local bonds, with a scale of 20 billion yuan, an issue interest rate of 2.2000%, a marginal multiple of 1.59 times and an expected multiple of 2.22.In November, the national second-hand car market traded 1,785,600 vehicles, up 4.33% from the previous month. On December 10th, according to china automobile dealers association, in November 2024, the national second-hand car market traded 1,785,600 vehicles, up 4.33% from the previous month and 8.12% from the same period last year, with a transaction amount of 114.167 billion yuan. From January to November, 2024, the cumulative transaction volume of used cars was 17,713,900, up 5.74% year-on-year, up 961,600 compared with the same period, and the cumulative transaction amount was 1,165.243 billion yuan.


The central parity of RMB against the US dollar was reported at 7.1896 yuan, down by 26 points.In early trading, the main domestic futures contracts rose almost across the board, with coke and glass rising by over 5%, BR rubber and coking coal rising by over 4%, screw thread and soda ash rising by over 3%, iron ore rising by nearly 3%, and hot coil, polyvinyl chloride (PVC), para-xylene (PX), PTA, Shanghai Bank, Shanghai Tin, rapeseed meal and SC crude oil rising by over 2%. In terms of decline, asphalt and low sulfur fuel oil (LU) declined slightly.Brent crude oil hit $72/barrel, up 0.34% in the day.


The onshore RMB against the US dollar officially closed at 7.2493 at 16:30 Beijing time, up 267 points from the official closing price of the previous trading day and up 69 points from the closing price of the previous day and night.The commander of the intelligence command of the South Korean Ministry of Defense was suspended. On December 10, local time, the South Korean Ministry of National Defense announced that it would take suspension measures against Wen Xianghu, commander of the intelligence command of the Ministry of National Defense. (CCTV News)The financing balance of the two cities increased by 3.489 billion yuan. As of December 9, the financing balance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 951.454 billion yuan, an increase of 223 million yuan over the previous trading day; The financing balance of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 901.246 billion yuan, an increase of 3.266 billion yuan over the previous trading day; The two cities totaled 1,852.70 billion yuan, an increase of 3.489 billion yuan over the previous trading day.

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